Hourly Winrate

Forwared from „hourly“

  • The hourly winrate is expressed by the $EV achieved in one hour of playing.
    Hourly winrate, or hourly, is the most important winning statistic for every poker player.
    It defines how much a poker player is able to earn playing a certain variant, while playing a certain amount of games or tournaments simultaniously.

    Instead of calculating the $EV or Chip EV for every hand, it has been made standard to calculate the $EV or Chip EV for every hundred hands played. This statistic is used by all major tracking tools in poker.
    Accordingly you need to know how many hands you are able to play in one hour to calculate your hourly winrate.

    There are three major variables in the equation of hourly rate:

    • Amount of hands played during one hour
    • Amount of winrate achieved in relation to the amount of hands played during one hour in relation to the average amount of buy-in
    • Amount of buyin versus payout


    While this is pretty easy to do for cashgames because here the Chip EV equals the $EV, for tournament players this can be quite difficult as $EV is not equal to Chip EV due to buy-in matching the amount of chips you get to play.


    Calculating your $EV for tournaments depends on the structure of the tournaments you play, meaning how chip EV is related to $EV for every different tournament, in order to know the $EV of a hundred hands played in every specific tournament. Depending on the amount of chips you get and the payout achieved with them on average in each tournament, the chip ev for a hundred hands played can vary quite a bit for each individual tournament.


    For a Spin and Go player though the average buy-in and chip EV can be calculated, there is the element of the possible price pool being affected by variance. So in order to calculate your $EV in Spin and Goes, you have to calculate the average price pool and calculate $EV from that number based on your chip EV winrate.

    For Cash games it is quite easy to calculate your average hourly winrate: Average Hourly Rate = Average winrate per hundred hands played * Average blind value in $ * Amount of hundred hands played in one hour


    One huge error players make when trying to maximize their hourly rate is that they view one or two of these variables as constants while increasing the other. In reality the winrate is always in relation to the other two variables, meaning the more hands or the higher the buyin, your winrate won't remain the same. In most cases it will accordingly drop.

    Example


    Steve plays NL1000 and is able to play four tables of 6max holdem with a winrate of 4 big blinds per hundred hands played, playing around 320 hands an hour total (80 hands per hour for each table). His hourly is his winrate times the big blind times the amount of hundred hands he plays -> Hourly = 4 * $10 * 3.2 = $128

    Steve thinks he can achieve more hourly by playing more tables. He thinks he can up his table count to 6 tables at NL1000 comfortably. If Steve's winrate stays the same, he gets to play 480 hands per hour instead -> 4 * $10 * 4.8 = $192.

    Steve talks to Mike about his plan to increase his hourly by playing more tables at NL1000 and Mike reminds him that he has to be sure that his winrate does not go down too much. Steve thinks about it and has an idea.

    What if we solve for winrate needed with the new table count knowing our previous hourly of $128. The only unknown is our winrate, so for X being the minimum amount of winrate to achieve his previous hourly the equation is -> X * $10 * 4.8 = $128 -> X= $128 / $10 * 4.8 -> X = $128 / $48 = 2.67

    So as long as Steve is able to achieve more than 2.67 big blinds per hundred hands played with his increased table count playing NL1000, he will increase his hourly compared to playing four tables.

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