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  • NL25 - Cbet

    miserry - - EN - Strategy & Hand Discussion

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    In mw pots there is a lot more protection usually, so that being said, where we have big advantage we maybe bet quite same or higher frequency with smaller size. I am not sure about that of course, just my 2 cents. In this spot tho, i can't really see a reason to bet exactly QQ, there is protection against pocket pairs and AXs, but clearly no value when called, so it is too thin imo.

  • I think this actually might be a range check, hmmm. I like the flop check. On the flop i would say normal villain would not have enough weaker hands to bluff with, so we might end-up over folding here. Hands like AA are really fucked up. I would call the flop bet, no reason to jam i believe, since he wont bet too much AK, KQ, QJs type stuff, so basically no value in jamming. Turn is fml spot, good luck, i would fold i think. Just potential 16 straights, very few sets and 2 pair. We need him to b…

  • Pre & flop std. I like flop bigger sizing on those kind of flops 1/4 not too attractive here, prolly would go around 35% pot, but still fine. Turn i think it's easy jam. Yes, villain will have (2) JTs, (2) AJs, (3) QJs, maybe even some J9s, but he also has few AK, AQs, T9s, 99, 89s, KTs, QTs and i think we really like a jam with this SPR vs such a range, it might be thin but we have decent equity when called and a lot of protection. Especially when bdf is out there for me it's quite easy jam.

  • Standard until river. I would fold it too in practice, unless some sick reads on villain. About the raising stuff i agree with @poop_scoop , we are not able to raise anything but nut flush and AsXx bluffs. We actually have way too many nut flushes in our range too, because they are not that attracted to raise early, cuz villain's continuing range or most of it should barrel off anyway + some additional bluffs. So yeah jam river with nutflush and like 1/4 bluffs added to that.

  • Everything seems quite standard. River this hand rarely should fall into a call down range on such a run out. Probably we call mostly with trips+flush blocker. I believe flush blocker won't block any of his bluffing combos, since flop is 3way and turn is not really a high frequency 2 barrel spot, so not that much off suit combos with a spade for bluffing in his range. Finally i am kinda happy to fold that. I think AK-AQ still stays as a value bet in villain's shoes when he holds a spade.

  • Pre & flop std. Turn i would bet myself for a small amount, like 1/3. There is a lot of value and protection in betting here, so quite a easy bet and we shouldn't face a raise too often i think, as long as we have too many nutted combos in our range, which makes x jam turn for SB with an overpair some kind of questionable.

  • Pre std. Flop i think betting is fine, checking is fine. Size is std. He will not fold a pair even against a bigger size. Against such a raise - well i see no other option, but call. Turn is definitely a check back, if you think he is bluffing with some KQo type stuff you can bluff him out of that often on the river, but i guess such a bluffs are happening quite rarely, so i would check, due to low fold equity and also the chance he make some fancy raise again.

  • Flop std. Turn i would bet normal, no real point to start targeting directly Qx here. Well if you want to do that, then overbet bigger. River i guess we could do some fancy thing and expect him to raise Qx, he can also call some A high, so should be good to bet something like 1/3. Other possibility is to just overbet jam directly, i doubt anyone here is folding Qx. Smaller bet will have a bit higher EV i think.

  • Pre, flop and turn std, i would bluff river, i don't see any weaker hand in my range here and he might be folding some TT, AQ himself. We will have some KJs, JJ, AK, so this can't be overbluff.

  • Flop bet std. Turn i agree we have a value bet again, some flushes are raising flop, some turn, some doesn't raise, but he has enough Ax hands that call twice + some pair/draw and nfd stuff. Sizing wise i think we should bet turn a lot bigger. River he will have some 2pair and few flushes, now it depends if you think he is calling his strong aces against another bet. If you think he does so, there is no reason to bet that small, you will have a clear value bet. Bet/fold is standard of course, i …

  • 3bet Pot Spot

    miserry - - EN - Strategy & Hand Discussion

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    Pre & flop std. Turn is already a fold. There's no point for thinking he will bluff that much on such a runout, imo. River just check, you will win sometimes against AQ, maybe AT and you should have some QJs, JTs type stuff to bluff with.

  • Pre flop std. Flop might bet, might check. Bet is okay. Turn definitely check , yes. Raising might get called by few worse things imo, maybe combo fd, some nut fd and very few 98s type hands. On the other hand they might have all sets, some 2pairs, few straights, so i don't think we can jam here for value. Just calling and hope they won't bluff enough on the river is actually a pretty good line.

  • I can't see any reason to not raise here!?

  • Pre & flop std. Turn i would bet most of the time with this combo, maybe 20% check make sense. River explo i would bluff such a combo all the time, instead of few combos QJs, QTs, JTs, as they are blocking KQs, KJs, KTs type stuff, not a huge think but definitely something we can start with.

  • Yes, you try to figure out how much he calls with overpair type stuff. I think 2/3 is okayish, bigger might be too thin.

  • Flop cbet is good against a weaker guy. Turn - same. River is just a bet/fold. I assume he will call more weaker hands than he would value bet, so quite easy b/f. XC is actually pretty bad, because villain should be betting all his flushes and then maybe few sets (3 or less/not raised before), prolly some 2pair, but still low amount and for smaller size.

  • Flop is whatever, i would check most of the time, but bet is fine. Turn betting again is ok, you should still have value against Qx, 87, 76, 65, 46s stuff. Once he raises i already feel really bad. What type of bluffs you put in his range to call? I would actually fold, because ppl usually can't bluff properly on such a board texture. If you expect some raise turn/xb river type of lines from him - then call is ok, but if hes unknown i don't think we can play well oop, so just a fold i guess. Riv…

  • Which bluffs? I see bluffs like T9s, KJ, JT type stuff, what else, maybe 43s, 53s. So yes, he will have hard times finding enough bluffs to cover x amount of trips combos. He will have tons of 2x, that's why i think he is underbluffing. You should be raising like crazy OTF with so random hands to have enough bluffs and i think ppl are way more likely to raise 2x and not enough bluffs, instead of raising bluffs only and slowplay 2x.

  • Flop bet is fine, call is ok. Raise would be too thin i guess, as there shouldn't be that much Qx and pocket pairs for raise/calling. Turn call, what else, he might give up bluff on the river sometimes, raising stands the same as on the flop. River is just a guessing game. GTOwise we should definitely call down KK, but i would fold it, assuming we are not seeing enough amount of bluffs here and he also might have way too many 2x in his range.

  • Flop check sometimes or always bet is whatever, i would cbet it most of the time. Turn vbet - sure. Maybe slightly bigger size, but it's ok. Against a min-raise i don't think we can jam, unless he's crazy fishy, but even then i don't think KQ plays that way. River easy fold.